Massive Meltdown

Earth’s glaciers are melting into the seas at an alarming rate

COURTESY OF NOAA

VERTICAL PLUNGE: A moulin, or waterfall within an ice sheet

JIM MCMAHON/MAPMAN®

This past July, Brandon Overstreet inched toward the edge of a brilliant blue river winding across a vast ice sheet in Greenland. The rushing water at his feet was only a degree above freezing—a result of massive amounts of ice melting.

Just downstream from where he stood, the river plunged into a moulin, a roaring vertical waterfall within the ice sheet that Overstreet called “the most terrifying thing I can imagine.”

Overstreet carried a bag with 23 meters     (75 feet) of rope inside. His mission: to throw the bag across the river to scientists on the other side. One misstep and the cold water would sweep him instantly down the moulin and beneath the ice to his death. “Swimming was not an option,” says Overstreet.

For Overstreet and his team, the dangerous work is worth it: They’re trying to better understand how a warming world is melting Greenland’s ice—and how coastal communities could be affected by the additional water flowing into the world’s oceans as a result.

HEATED EVIDENCE

Eighty percent of Greenland is covered by a giant glacier known as an ice sheet (see Greenland’s Ice Sheet). In the 1970s, NASA started to collect indirect evidence of glacial melt from photos of Earth taken by satellites in orbit. The images gathered in the 45 years since reveal that Earth’s glaciers, including those on Greenland, are shrinking dramatically.

A recent study by scientists from the University of Copenhagen in Denmark found that from 2003 to 2010, ice on the Greenland ice sheet melted more than twice as quickly as it did during the 20th century.

Scientists have concluded that the melting is mainly due to climate change. About 8,000 years ago, human activity began to alter Earth’s climate, says Richard Williams, a geologist at the Stefánsson Arctic Institute in Iceland. Cutting down trees for farming and burning coal, oil, and gas for fuel for vehicles and factories have released greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. These gases act like a blanket around Earth, trapping energy that warms the planet.

As the temperature rises, Earth’s glacier ice melts. Meltwater flows into the oceans, raising the level of the seas. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a leading authority on climate change, estimates that ice melt will raise sea levels 1 meter (3 feet) by the year 2100.

That estimate comes from surveys that scientists have taken to reveal how much ice is melting and how quickly. The data also suggest that there’s enough ice in the Greenland ice sheet alone to raise the world’s sea levels by 7 meters (23 feet) if all of it were to melt.

Since Greenland’s temperatures hover around freezing, an increase of just a few degrees creates ideal melting conditions—a scenario that greatly concerns scientists.

THE ASAHI SHIMBUN VIA GETTY IMAGES

A river of meltwater

OCEANS ON THE RISE

“In a low-lying area, one foot of sea level rise can translate to a quarter mile of flooding inland,” says Williams. “You can go to Miami, Florida, to see it happening,” he says. There, the water is rising by almost an inch a year. Seawater is creeping toward beachfront homes, flooding roads, and contaminating drinking wells with salt.

As seas rise, people living in Miami and other coastal communities will have to be relocated. “We need to start planning now,” says Williams (see U.S. Coastal Land Threatened by Sea Level Rise).

With so much at stake, it’s important for scientists to understand exactly how the amount Earth warms translates into ice melt. That’s where Overstreet’s work comes in. He’s a graduate student in hydrology (the study of water) at the University of Wyoming and part of a team of scientists studying Greenland’s ice.

Before his team traveled to Greenland, no one had made large-scale direct measurements to test whether models of ice melt were accurate. 

ON THIN ICE

PAUL SOUDERS/CORBIS

An iceberg melts

Last summer, a helicopter dropped Overstreet on one side of the rushing river of meltwater they planned to study. The chopper brought the rest of his team to the other side. Overstreet’s job was to set up a cable that would bridge the river so the team could study it. He hurled bags of rope over and over again to his teammates, each time falling short—until finally, one made it across the river.

Once the cable was set up, the scientists attached a specially designed boogie board to it, which floated on the river. The board was equipped with instruments to measure the river’s depth, width, temperature, and rate of flow. That allowed them to precisely track how fast the ice was melting.

Scientists have watched Earth’s glaciers shrink for decades. But this was the first time anyone had directly measured a large river of meltwater every hour for 72 hours straight.

JOSH HANER/THE NEW YORK TIMES/REDUX

Brandon Overstreet checks meltwater data.

DANGEROUS WORK

On Overstreet’s trip, “it was immediately apparent how connected the meltwater production is to the temperature,” he says. When the sun was below the horizon, about 6 cubic meters (1,600 gallons) of meltwater flowed through the river per second. But once the day warmed up, that increased to as much as 24 cubic meters (6,300 gallons)—enough water rushing by each second to fill about 85 bathtubs.

As the planet’s temperature continues to rise, the melting will increase. Even as the scientists worked, the ice beneath their camp started to melt, trickling toward the treacherous moulin.

BRANDON TYLER OVERSTREET

Ice breaks on a lake in warming temperatures.

So far, the data the team collected shows that models do a really good job of predicting ice loss, says Overstreet.

This summer, the scientists will make another trip to Greenland to measure the meltwater flowing through other rivers. They hope that if they continue to gather evidence that a warming world is melting Earth’s ice, people in coastal areas will take the threat seriously and begin to prepare for higher seas.

“It’s hard, dangerous work,” says Overstreet. “But we’re out there because we’re passionate about understanding climate change.”

CORE QUESTION: What is one reason it’s important to study melting ice in Greenland?  

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